Norway had a big day Saturday but not as big a day as projected. Canada and the USA had a couple of surprises, and yet they’re right on pace.
How? Read on …
Norway
Projected: 2g, 2s, 1b = 5
Actual: 2g, 1s, 1b = 4
Won expected medals in biathlon men’s sprint (though not the expected medalist) and snowboarding men’s slopestyle. But the projections had a sweep in cross-country women’s skiathlon, and Norway only managed gold and bronze.
Canada
Projected: 1g, 1s, 1b = 3
Actual: 1g, 1s, 1b = 3
A little backwards: two actual medals vs. one projected in freestyle women’s moguls, then one of the projected two in snowboarding men’s slopestyle. Evens out.
Netherlands
Projected: 1g, 1s, 0b = 2
Actual: 1g, 1s, 1b = 3
Called two medals in speedskating men’s 5,000. Got a sweep.
USA
Projected: 1g, 0s, 1b = 2
Actual: 1g, 0s, 1b = 2
Swap the gold in the slopestyle for the bronze in the moguls.
Surprise medals: Austria (silver, biathlon), Sweden (silver, cross-country), Czech Republic (bronze, biathlon)
Missed out: France (silver, biathlon), Slovenia (bronze, biathlon), South Korea (bronze, speedskating)
Biggest surprise: Sage Kotsenburg (USA), gold, slopestyle. Barely knew who he was.
Biggest disappointment: Martin Fourcade (France) has been dominant in biathlon. But the sprint can be a fickle event.
Worst pick: Jakov Fak (Slovenia), biathlon. Shouldn’t have stuck with him while he slumped this season. Shot cleanly and still finished 10th.
The projection vs. actual table:
[gview file=”http://www.sportsmyriad.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/02/2014-medal-projections-Feb8.pdf”%5D
Duresport.com 
Really enjoying the original predications and updates… I have you at 45% correct in medalists for any medal (through 2/9, before Ski Jumping). One note for tomorrows predictions on your site… you have Nicole Hosp winning silver in Alpine/Super Combined… she’s from Austria, not Switzerland. Keep up the great work!
You’re right — thanks! I actually have her listed with Austria in every other reference but that one. Very strange. I fixed it on that page and adjusted the medal count.