Jonathan Tannenwald got me thinking about this post today when he started musing on MLS approaching a semi-balanced schedule next year when Nashville comes in:
If MLS can get to 24 teams in 2019 (hello, Nashville), the schedule would have some equilibrium:
But my proposal accomplishes a few important things:
It creates opportunity for clubs to move up.
It provides a cushion for clubs that drop down, thereby increasing the odds that their youth academies will survive.
It aligns the USA with the transfer windows and season calendar used in the rest of the world (except Brazil, Bolivia, China, Canada, Japan, Iceland, Ireland, Indonesia, Singapore, Thailand, Vietnam, parts of Scandinavia, several Eastern European countries and several African nations, but that’s only a couple billion people, so who cares? I mean, Russia went to a winter schedule, and we all admire the sense of fair play that governs sports and politics in Russia these days, right?)
It did get me thinking, though, and I wonder if this might simplify things a bit:
Fall Division 1: Two 12-team regional conferences playing 22-game double round-robin. (If that seems short, look at the calendar. See below, where I proposed a 10-team top division. We’re basically squeezing these games in 17 weeks, at least in a World Cup year.) Winners are regional league champions, each claiming a CONCACAF berth.
Spring MLS Cup: Twelve teams play a single round-robin (11 games). So each team can have an equal number of home and away games (and so we can kick off in southern cities), every team’s first game will be at a neutral site. From here, the top six qualify to a simple knockout tournament, with the top two getting byes. (Yes, I’m finally backing off from my beloved Page playoff. Maybe.) Winner is MLS/D1 champion and claims a CONCACAF berth if it doesn’t already have one. (Then it passes down to finalist or highest-placed semifinalist.)
Spring pro/rel tournaments: The other 12 teams from D1 join six teams from D2. Form three six-team groups that play double round-robins (10 games). The top three teams in each group claim a spot in D1 that fall. The last-place teams go to D2. The other six are randomly drawn into two-leg series; winner in D1, loser in D2.
As a reminder: Clubs that meet Premier standards can’t be relegated below D2. Clubs that meet Professional standards can’t be relegated below D3.
Let’s plug in some clubs, based on results (where relevant) and historical ambition …
FALL 2018 (kicking off July 29, two weeks after World Cup final, and scheduling top divisions around international breaks: Sept. 3-11, Oct. 8-16, Nov. 12-20)
Division 1 (Premier clubs: 10-team single table, 18 games, final games Dec. 16)
Toronto FC
NYC FC
Chicago Fire
Atlanta United
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York Red Bulls
Houston Dynamo
At stake, besides the league championship: The top four clubs are guaranteed a spot in Division 1 next fall, and the top eight advance to the National Cup. (Put another way — two clubs drop straight into the promotion playoffs, and another four might join them.)
Division 2 (Premier and Professional clubs)
12-team single tables at this point. The eight teams in italics are Professional rather than Premier clubs, which means they could be subject to relegation while the Premier clubs are not.
The top finisher in each region advances to the National Cup. The two runners-up play a playoff for a space in the National Cup.
WEST
EAST
Sporting KC
New England Revolution
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
FC Dallas
Montreal Impact
Real Salt Lake
Orlando City
Minnesota United
D.C. United
Colorado Rapids
Miami (Silva or Beckham)
Los Angeles Galaxy
FC Cincinnati
LAFC
Nashville (MLS bidders)
Sacramento Republic
North Carolina FC
Detroit (MLS bidders or City FC)
New York Cosmos
California United
Indy Eleven
San Diego 1904 FC
Jacksonville Armada
Division 3 (Professional clubs)
USL-1 West
USL-1 East
NISA/NPSL Pro W
NISA/NPSL Pro E
San Antonio FC
Louisville City FC
Omaha
Chattanooga FC
Rio Grande Valley FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
St. Louis
Little Rock Rangers
Phoenix Rising FC
Ottawa Fury FC
Milwaukee Torrent
Asheville City SC
Reno 1868 FC
Richmond Kickers
FC Arizona
Charlotte
Oklahoma City Energy FC
Saint Louis FC
Napa Valley 1839
Atlanta Silverbacks
Tulsa Roughnecks FC
Charleston Battery
Grand Rapids FC
Miami
Colorado Springs Switchbacks
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Kalamazoo FC
Syracuse FC
Real Monarchs
Swope Park Rangers
Midland-Odessa FC
Albion SC
LA Galaxy II
Bethlehem Steel
Detroit City 2
Birmingham Hammers
Seattle Sounders 2
Toronto FC II
Hartford City FC
USL-2 West
USL-2 Northeast
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Rochester Rhinos
FC Tucson
Jacksonville Armada 2
Fresno Fuego
New York Red Bulls 2
Portland Timbers 2
Michigan Bucks
Orange County SC
Harrisburg City Islanders
Des Moines Menace
Thunder Bay Chill
LAFC Reserves
Long Island Rough Riders
Sacramento Republic 2
Indy Eleven Reserves
California United 2
San Diego 1904 FC
USL-2 Southeast
Charlotte Independence
Orlando City B
Charlotte Eagles
Carolina Dynamo
Tobacco Road FC
North Carolina FC 2
Miami Reserves
FC Cincinnati Reserves
Nashville Reserves
Maybe that would be simpler if we could merge everything and go strictly regional, but we’ll live with that for now. The league winners will need to have a playoff to determine teams for the National Cup.
Now let’s assume all of these clubs finished in the order listed above. That leads us to …
SPRING 2019 (Cup play and playoffs, kicking off in March, observing international break March 18-26 and ending before pre-Copa international break June 3)
National Cup: Top eight from Division 1, top two from Division 2, two from Division 3. Drawn into two six-team groups. Group winners and runners-up qualify for playoffs. In each group, the bottom team of the three italicized teams drops to the last phase of the D1 promotion playoffs. (We’ll say Kansas City and New England here.)
GROUP A
GROUP B
Toronto FC
NYC FC
Atlanta United
Chicago Fire
Columbus Crew
Portland Timbers
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
Sporting KC
New England Revolution
Chattanooga FC
Louisville City FC
D1 promotion playoffs: Every other Premier club. Group winners advance to face bottom relegation-eligible teams from the National Cup for the last spots in the Fall 2019 Division 1.
GROUP A
GROUP B
San Jose Earthquakes
Philadelphia Union
Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake
LAFC
Orlando City
Montreal Impact
D.C. United
Colorado Rapids
Miami (Silva or Beckham)
FC Dallas
Minnesota United
FC Cincinnati
Nashville (MLS bidders)
D2 promotion playoffs: We still have eight spots in Division 2 for Professional clubs. (Reserve teams are not eligible.) Two of them will go to the D3 clubs that reached the National Cup. For the remaining six, we’ll have two six-team groups. The eight clubs from the previous D2 are automatically invited, along with four clubs from D3.
WEST
EAST
Sacramento Republic
North Carolina FC
Detroit (MLS bidders or City FC)
New York Cosmos
California United
Indy Eleven
San Diego 1904 FC
Jacksonville Armada
San Antonio FC
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Omaha
Little Rock Rangers
Regional Cups: Every other professional team plays in a regional group that also includes amateur teams that apply. Maybe even college teams. They’re already playing spring friendlies.
So let’s see how this meets the criteria set out in the last post:
OPPORTUNITY: Plenty of it. Division 1 is fluid. Clubs that don’t meet Premier standards can still go up to Division 2.
DEVELOPMENT: The requirement is that all these clubs have academies, so … yes.
STABILITY: Lots of movement here, but not that much risk. Clubs can only fall one division.
As I was leaving the country (for unrelated reasons), I asked aloud on Twitter — how would you set up a promotion/relegation system in the USA? Here’s a sampling:
Relegating from each conference maintains geographic balance and virtually assures that major markets (LA, NYC) will each have at least one team in D1. Balanced schedule improves value of Supporters Shield. Split leagues in D2 reduces travel and fosters local rivalries.
My favorite solution is an MLS 1A and 1B closed loop league of 40 total teams. Careful branding to not devalue 1B conference (call the conferences "Playoff Conf" and "Promotion Conf" etc). Continue revenue sharing, etc.
MLS @ 36-40 teams. Pro-rel w/in MLS I & II. Promote 2 teams that win MLS II SS & Cup. Relegate 2 worst teams. Add MLS Super Cup (ala USOC) tourney. Allow limited ability for USL clubs (or NASL – if they still exist) to be promoted given financial and stadium standards.
— Be the person your dog thinks you are (@Ron_West_52) November 22, 2017
TAKEAWAYS
Here’s how I interpret what I’ve heard here and elsewhere:
There’s an appetite for pro/rel to make things interesting.
People are open to a modified pro/rel system.
Let’s work on that, first by defining some goals. (I’ve done that before, but the conversation has progressed since then.)
GOALS
OPPORTUNITY: Encourage the growth of the professional game so as many communities as possible would have a direct tie to the pro leagues
Or “open access,” if you like.
The minor-league baseball model won’t really work for soccer. A baseball player might take a few years of seasoning before breaking through to the majors, and you can honestly say the players you’re seeing in Rookie or Single-A baseball could make the majors someday. The soccer timeline is more accelerated. It’s a rare player (not unheard-of, but rare) who’s in the fourth tier at age 19 and then makes the Big Show.
DEVELOPMENT: Grow a large, stable national network of pro-affiliated youth academies
Note that I’ve never seen any suggestion to prevent an existing youth club from forming a professional team and being the Richmond Kickers of their region. I’d think that would be encouraged.
STABILITY: Minimize risk — not for the protection of billionaires but for community supporters and their youth academies
(Yes, this would include not letting clubs move. You want a pro club in Austin? Sell your damn club in Columbus and start/buy a new one in Austin.)
SIMPLICITY
This is apparently the counterargument against my most recent plan. It’s really not that complicated, but OK, I’ll play ball.
So how do we do all this? Here’s what I’ll suggest:
COMPONENTS
Have divisional club standards with some flexibility
The basic idea here is to kill the waiver process and replace it with a system that allows clubs to compete if they can’t meet one or two of the standards. It’ll make more sense if I write out an example:
A professional club is required to have a youth system meeting Development Academy standards (to be defined in another post!), a stadium with basics like locker rooms and lights, and a sufficient full-time business staff. Also, the ownership group must meet financial (viability) standards.
An premier club (a level above simply “professional”) is required to have a stadium seating at least 10,000 people, along with further stadium, staff and ownership requirements.
At each of these two levels, require clubs to meet at least three of these five:
A stadium seating at least 5,000 for pro, 15,000 for premier
A grass field of at least 110 yards by 70
Average attendance in the prior three seasons of 1,500 for pro, 10,000 for premier
An affiliated pro or elite amateur women’s team — either as part of the club itself or through a partnership with a team in the same market
At least one finish in the top 90 percent of the club’s primary league in the last four years
Have a relegation *floor* beyond which a club cannot be relegated (unless it fails to meet standards)
If you’re a premier club, you stay in a premier league — assuming we have enough clubs, that would be the top two tiers.
If you’re a professional club, you stay in a professional league. Might be D3, might also be D4 if we have a lot of clubs.
The distinction between “pro” and “amateur” will be determined by financial reality
Quit griping. Quit telling me your local amateur club would be worth eleventy billion dollars if only it had the opportunity to be promoted to MLS. That’s baloney. Your local amateur club can go pro next year for far less than eleventy billion dollars. Call Peter Wilt. Call USL. Call NASL. Even MLS might still hear you out for the round of expansion after the next round of expansion.
And quit telling me about “the rest of the world” having an uninterrupted pyramid from its megaclubs all the way down to East Piddlington School Old Boys of the Farthingsworth Southwest Northern County Premier League Third Division. In England, the beacon of promotion/relegation, the swinging door between the pro and amateur ranks is a recent thing — and as it currently stands, it’s one that means your club might shut down its academy if it has a bad season at League Two. That’s why I argued a while ago that we’d be better off keeping an open-ended third or fourth tier rather than limiting it to, say, 24 teams — and that was before I dug into English academies and found they were considered quite expendable when a club was relegated out of “League football.”
The Netherlands have been prying open that door rather carefully. Spain’s pyramid is so wide (80 clubs in third tier, 360 in fourth tier) that there’s probably a place for a fully professional club in an upper tier. Other countries have plenty of standards to meet at some point on the pyramid. Even in England, they’re reinstating the wall between full professionals and other clubs in the women’s game.
If you have a lot of money, sure, you can form a club like AFC Wimbledon and climb into the pro ranks. It’s hard to imagine any country in which a club with such a spending advantage over amateur clubs would not be able to go pro.
The farther down the pyramid, the more regional you get
Said it on Twitter today — I’ve never understood the U.S. fascination with making its lower divisions “national.” In Spain and Italy, the third division is regional.
The reason for going national is to have a national TV deal. That’s always going to be a tough sell for a lower division. These clubs are going to make most of their money at the gate. That means regional rivalries help — note North Carolina FC’s excitement about playing Charleston, Charlotte and Richmond in the USL.
Align with the international calendar (even though it doesn’t actually exist)
The OCD pedant in me cringes when I hear talk of the “international calendar.” The major European leagues run from fall to spring. Other European leagues do not. Most South American leagues play two seasons per year. Brazil’s national season is May to December.
Then there’s the transfer window, which is the time in which a player may be transferred to a club within the country in question. (Free agents can sign whenever.) Transfer windows don’t have to overlap for a transfer to be made, which is why you hear very little about the transfer windows in countries from which MLS has been importing (Costa Rica, Argentina, etc.).
But yes — as Eric Wynalda often says, there’s a disadvantage to having your season aligned differently from the Euro leagues. Clubs generally want to do their major makeovers between seasons and then tinker a bit during a season, so it’s easier to make bigger deals when the two countries in question have the same offseason.
Caveat to previous component: Let’s not make fans sit outside a lot in Toronto or Boston or other northern venues in the middle of winter
We’re going to need a six-week winter break. At least.
Strike a balance between rewarding regular-season excellence AND offering up an engaging playoff
This is something MLS simply isn’t doing right now. Too many teams in the playoffs. Too many interruptions in the playoffs.
Division 1 (MLS?): Premier clubs only. Single table, 12 teams, balanced schedule, best season record determines league champion.
Division 2 (MLS2? New brand?): Premier and professional clubs. Probably two regions, maybe three someday. Premier clubs can’t be relegated further than this.
Division 3 (many, including NISA, USL and hopefully a lot of new regional leagues): Professional clubs only. These leagues can have promotion/relegation with them. It’s up to them. If you have a 30-team league in the Northeast or SoCal, you’ll probably have pro/rel. If you have 10 teams in a large, sparsely populated area, maybe not.
Does that mean we have pro/rel among Divisions 1-3? Yes, but it’s not based strictly on league performance. The top eight teams in Division 1 are guaranteed a return to Division 1 the next year. Everything else will be decided in …
Cup play (March to May)
National Cup: Top 8 from Division 1, top 3 from Division 2, champion from Division 3. Play in two six-team groups. Top two from each group make playoffs.
D1/D2 playoffs: Bottom 2 from Division 1, maybe 10 from Division 2. Top two wrap up D1 status for the fall.
Regional Cups: The rest of the D2 clubs join all the D3 clubs.
So that’s a start. Still plenty to work out, particularly whether new clubs in D1 or D2 have to pay expansion fees.
In case you haven’t managed to listen to all of my conversation with journalist/mediator Neil Morris, here’s a quick summary of how we proceeded with our mock mediation of the NASL v USSF lawsuit:
NASL proposal (again, this is fictional — just me playing the role)
Give us three years guaranteed years of Division 2 designation as long as we maintain a minimum of eight teams.
Alternate option: Remove the division standards entirely.
Freeze the Professional League Standards at the 2014 edition until 2026 with the exception of removing the time-zone standard
Steve Malik removed as Pro Council representative, Rocco Commisso on Pro Council AND give him full access to SUM/USSF relationship
USSF counterproposal (again, fictional)
Remove the distinction between Division 2 and Division 3. We’ll have Division 1 standards and professional standards, but any further distinction is up to the leagues.
Freeze the PLS and remove the time-zone standard (actually, when we remove Division 2 from the PLS, then that’s a moot point), but we’ll only freeze until 2020.
Changing the Board as the result of a lawsuit is a nonstarter. That’s not how boards work.
Lose the NASL brand name, which we consider toxic given its history, and open merger talks with NISA.
Neil, speaking as a mediator and not a soccer journalist/analyst, sees a few problems with trying to force action upon those who are not party to the suit. USL could object to the removal of D2. Peter Wilt is under no obligation to talk with NASL. (In the real world, he probably would, but the point is that we can’t speak for him in this mediation.)
Another idea: Neil thinks granting the NASL a two-year grace period at Division 2 makes sense, and not just because it’s a compromise between the reported USSF proposal (one year) and NASL (three years).
If these ideas were exchanged in the real world, they might prod everyone toward a resolution of the current issues. Unfortunately, as we discuss, this isn’t likely to be the last USSF lawsuit no matter what they do. Impose an “open system”? OK then, MLS owners would surely haul you to court. Deny NASL the chance to become Division 1 in a few years if they manage to stick around? Yeah, we might see you in court again. Allow NASL to become a competing Division 1? Again, would MLS owners stand for that?
The only way these issues are going to get a long-term solution is if every stakeholder sits down and hammers out a solution that everyone can live with. And even then, you might stop someone new from coming in and suing down the road. We simply live in a litigious society that isn’t going to hand over total control of one sport to the federation, even if it were perfectly run to the satisfaction of 99% of Americans.
Listen to the podcast for all that — if you’re in a hurry, skip to the hour mark, where Neil and I assess the hourlong conversation we just had.
In thinking further about it, I’m leaning toward the following as a long-term plan that satisfies supporters (and those of us concerned about youth development) as well as owners and lawyers …
Replace the Professional League Standards with Professional Club Standards. By all means, still keep some policies for leagues on refereeing, drug testing, an arbitration process for disputes, etc. But no more of this “75% of teams in a league must be owned by a gazillionaire” or “75% of teams must be in cities that had 1 million people before climate change forced everyone inland” stuff. The Club standards would focus on fields, stadium size, etc. Perhaps instead of a waiver application process, we could have a list of five items that must be met and five items of which a club must meet at least three. (Youth academy standards would absolutely be part of this.)
Open the pyramid with some caveats. That’s the next post, and it will include some of the things people tweeted to me in the last 10 days. (No, I didn’t forget. Things have just been haywire.)
Neil Morris covers his local teams — North Carolina FC and the North Carolina Courage — for WRAL. His work includes a terrific podcast, the Inverted Triangle. In his day job, he’s an attorney and mediator.
So why not combine his areas of expertise and try to mediate the NASL/USSF lawsuit? We gave it a whirl, with Neil playing the role of mediator and your host flipping between the roles of NASL and USSF advocates.
The conversation starts around the 8:45 mark. We quickly explain what’s going on in the real world with the lawsuit, and then Neil explains the mediation process.
I present a hypothetical NASL offer, prompted by Neil’s helpful questions and prodding, around the 25-minute mark. (Highlights: Cosmos owner on the USSF Board, drop divisional sanctioning OR give us D2 for a few years.) I give a hypothetical USSF counter at 43:45. We spend the last half-hour assessing our progress — some promising ideas, but some roadblocks that even the most reasonable people may have difficulty eliminating. Uh oh.
The promotion/relegation debate has long been tainted by personal accusations. If you point out reasonable things that make it impractical, you’re accused of being a “shill” for MLS or U.S. Soccer. The people making such accusations — the PRZ (pro/rel zealots) — have been so divorced from reality that they make reasonable promotion/relegation talk very difficult.
We’ve turned a corner in the last few years. And with a gaggle of mostly reasonable U.S. Soccer presidential candidates expressing some willingness to explore pro/rel, we can honestly say it’s mainstream.
But the debate is still, unfortunately, not entirely grounded in reality. Or sanity. Or humanity.
Pro/rel is not the magic bullet for “pressure.” I’ve addressed this before in the post with Austin Powers and a clip from White Men Can’t Jump. Taking it further: Look at the players who were on the field in Trinidad:
Played in pro/rel leagues in Europe: Tim Howard, Michael Bradley, Christian Pulisic, Bobby Wood, Clint Dempsey
Played in pro/rel leagues and been involved in actual relegation battles: DeAndre Yedlin, Jozy Altidore, Benny Feilhaber
Played in Mexico’s sort-of pro/rel league: Omar Gonzalez, Jorge Villafana, Paul Arriola
Only played in MLS: Matt Besler, Darlington Nagbe, Kellyn Acosta
Pro/rel is not the magic bullet for youth development. Far from it. The notion that any club could make the Premier League doesn’t mean Cornwall has a bunch of Category 1 academies. The youth game isn’t even always tied to traditional clubs — or is Independent Football Academy climbing up through the National League system?
And in case you missed it — clubs that get relegated out of the pro ranks have a nasty habit of closing up their academies.
If you’ve found a lot of full-fledged clubs with academies outside the traditional four professional divisions in England, please let me know. After digging around for a while, I could still count the number of Category 3 academies below the Football League on one hand. Check out the spreadsheets.
Pro/rel DOES have some benefits. I covered that, too. But they’re benefits for supporters. (And neutrals. And data scientists.) Putting a larger goal such as “development” on it just falls apart under scrutiny.
What do our feelings about pro/rel say about our feelings toward athletes and others?
I’ll raise my hand and say I’m hypersensitive about this. Ever since I saw Rollerball for my first Guardian piece, I’ve been a little queasy with the notion that athletes are exalted but ultimately expendable. No, we’re not carrying out de facto assassinations on a roller rink, but the tone of the conversation toward athletes (or coaches or sometimes just anyone who works for a sports organization) veers toward class bias. There is a substantial group that wants “hungry” athletes fed into sports academies (when they’d actually be far better off in a STEM program) so we can select the top 0.1% for professional riches and glory.
So when we talk about pro/rel — are we looking at it with a bit of sadism? Are we giving the old Roman thumbs-up or thumbs-down to a couple of gladiators?
The anger over the “World Cup losers’ NIT” tournament hints at the problem. I mentioned it might be fun. I’ve been told we don’t have fun in soccer. It’s as if people who cite the Bill Shankly quote about soccer being more important than life and death are unfamiliar with dry British wit.
The next post in this series will how promotion can help with youth development. And perhaps we can do limited relegation so clubs don’t toss aside their academies and stop paying players. Happy Thanksgiving.
… and not enough time to ask them of all the people who need to answer them.
I’ll try to pester people before Thanksgiving. But if anyone wants to go ahead and ask, go ahead.
MLS/COLUMBUS CREW
If Precourt takes his team or his ownership position or whatever you call it to Austin, then does Columbus immediately jump into the expansion fray as San Jose did when the Earthquakes moved? Columbus already has a stadium, so if they can raise the expansion fee, do they get a “new” Crew?
Is MLS planning to do anything to appease angry fans across the country who are saying they’re less likely to support their local teams because a city can have a solid fan base and a stadium and still move? What assurances will you give them that you’re not just going to let their owners pack up and move somewhere?
Did the Columbus powers-that-be really cut off future conversations, as PSV claimed? If not, why have we not heard a loud denunciation of that claim?
Why should any municipality pledge money, even just for infrastructure, to build a stadium for an MLS club when that’s clearly not enough to guarantee the club’s future?
NWSL OWNERS
Why don’t you have a commissioner, eight months after Jeff Plush stepped down?
REFEREES
When are you going to start calling more fouls, from the pro level down to Under-9, so that U.S. players will develop skills instead of just beating the crap out of each other?
MEDIA
When are we going to quit exalting players who beat the crap out of each other?
U.S. SOCCER
Are you working on a solution to the training compensation / solidarity payment issue that you think you would survive a court challenge from the MLS Players Union or whomever else, or are you waiting for the Court of Arbitration for Sport to weigh in?
Why did the women’s national team have to play on bad turf in New Orleans?
FIFA
What in the world does “continuously” mean here? Shouldn’t citizenship be part of the criteria? And what’s up with efforts to update this?
I’m not going to spend time on Twitter today because I’m going to try to … now, everyone, sit down and don’t be alarmed … report on soccer matters. I’m going to try to talk with people to see what’s on their minds and what’s happening. That sort of thing.
No, but I think FIFA would look dimly on USSF being tied up for years in court, and I would think (if Messrs. Bank, Holroyd and Turner disagree, I defer to them) MLS owners would bring quite a lawsuit if their way of doing business is changed by USSF fiat.
No one running for president is going to burn it all down. I’d be shocked if anyone tried to shut down the Development Academy, for example. Make big changes, sure. But burn it down? Not happening.
Re: pro/rel in general. I’m going to have an upcoming post suggesting pro/rel zealotry is driven by an inherent belief that athletes are subhuman. Maybe I’m still too affected by Rollerball.
That said — I still like my idea, complicated though it may be, to have a separate League and Cup season with modified pro/rel that minimizes risk and maximizes reward. And it occurred to me today — if people prefer to have two separate D1 leagues instead of a two-tier D1A and D1B, the structure I’m proposing still works.
Or maybe I’m just biased because I financially benefit from nothing but chaos.
No, I’m not going to fact-check every sentence. I’m relatively sure Paul Caligiuri and Eric Wynalda played in Germany.
I’m also not going to try to transcribe the whole thing, though I did find myself summing up pretty much everything. You can find all that at the bottom of this post. The summary of the summary — basically, the most extraordinary things I noticed — is at the top.
And a quick reminder: While transparency could be improved in many aspects of U.S. Soccer, there is a considerable amount of information on its governance page, including bylaws, the policy manual, and (part) of the election procedures.
So here are the surprising/dubious things, then the whole thing.
Disclaimer up front: While this is a fact/reality check steeped in appropriate journalistic skepticism, these people all seem like the sort of person we’d love to see involved with U.S. Soccer. Only one can be president, but I hope the others find a role.
SURPRISING/DUBIOUS THINGS
Paul Caligiuri tossed out the astounding estimate that more than 500,000 kids in Southern California are not part of U.S. Soccer because of pay-to-play. We know he’s not just talking about travel soccer because he suggests a possible solution of “Friday night soccer” pickup games. Seems staggering to suggest 500,000 kids are being missed by every program, particularly the hundreds of clubs with recreational programs that are cheap and usually offer financial aid.
The ever-popular promotion/relegation discussion drew some reasonable takes and some off-the-wall takes. Caligiuri somehow segued into youth futsal. Paul Lapointe suggested piloting pro/rel in top amateur leagues including his own, the UPSL, but most elite amateur leagues have had pro/rel for generations. (And my indoor league. I didn’t get those two championship T-shirts by winning the Upper Division.)
I have a belated follow-up for Mike Winograd about his plan to have a USSF training center in each state. How does this complement the requirement for each state association to have a director of coaching with an A license?
Several candidates imply U.S. Soccer isn’t doing things it most definitely is — overseeing futsal, hiring independent auditors and governance reviewers, etc.
THE WHOLE THING
Joe Cummings, himself a rather good candidate if he had so chosen, moderates the forum and kicks things off at the 11:15 mark of this video:
I’ll continue to give timestamps throughout, and I’ll give the order in which each candidate answers so you can go through and find specific comments. The format is formal, and candidates answer each question in a different, pre-assigned order. Each candidate gets two minutes for the intro and their answers to specific questions, then four minutes for a closing.
Take a moment to applaud GotSoccer and Cummings here — this is done very well.
My comments are in italic.
INTRO (13:30)
Cummings first explains the absentees: Carlos Cordeiro is at a CONCACAF meeting, Sunil Gulati (not yet announced his bid for re-election) is away on U.S. Soccer business (?!!!), and Kyle Martino had vacation plans before he announced his bid. (We’ll hear from Martino soon enough.)
Frankly, it seems clear that Gulati has no interest in appearing alongside other candidates. That might be why he has delayed announcing his intent to run for a final term under USSF’s new term-limit bylaws. He is appearing at functions as the USSF president, not as a candidate.
Or maybe he’s not running.
The order: Lapointe, Caligiuri, Gans, Wynalda, Winograd.
Noteworthy:
Caligiuri went rogue. The intros weren’t supposed to be about the issues, but that’s he discusses. He actually gives more of a personal intro in some of his answers. But he does state here that he was a USSF board member, which I’d forgotten because it wasn’t recent. He served from 2005 to 2007, during which time the board was reduced from 40 to 15. (That may seem sinister to some, but other sports federations have been doing the same thing under guidance/direction from the U.S. Olympic Committee.)
Three candidates — Lapointe, Gans and Winograd — played professional indoor soccer at some point, a bit ironic given that the indoor game isn’t affiliated with USSF right now.
QUESTION 1: Actually two questions — why do you want to be president, and what’s your position on whether the president should be paid? (23:30)
Noteworthy:
Winograd, not for the first or last time, says he is not a “burn it all down” guy.
Caligiuri makes the first of many references to his DNA.
Gans twice says he has “graciously declined” to run for president in the past.
Most candidates don’t give direct answers on paying the president. Winograd says he wouldn’t want to be paid but thinks the next president (not him) should be paid to broaden the pool of qualified candidates. Wynalda sees an advantage to paying the president to make that person more accountable. Gans sees an issue with nonprofit law but doesn’t have time to explain it in full.
Fact/reality check:
Lapointe doesn’t care whether president is paid but thinks it should become a full-time position. This is an interesting point that deserves a bit more attention. One criticism of Sunil Gulati has been that he’s too involved with every phase of the game, and that he should let staff and other board members handle their jobs. Lapointe is going the other direction.
QUESTION 2: What are your thoughts on pay-to-play? (33:30)
Noteworthy:
There’s some discussion here of applying the USSF surplus, but Gans notes that an upcoming question covers that in more detail.
Fact/reality check, in order:
Caligiuri worries that pay-to-play excludes many players. He says “perhaps millions,” then says by his estimate, more than 500,000 kids in Southern California are not part of U.S. Soccer because of pay-to-play. That’s an extraordinary claim. It doesn’t seem verifiable, and I wonder what he means by that. Are there really 500,000 kids who aren’t playing for USSF clubs at all, not even on the generally affordable rec level? He further confuses it by suggesting one answer could be “Friday night soccer” — basically, supervised pickup games. Does Southern California really have 500,000 kids who have no access to anything like this?
Wynalda is paying about $3,300 a year for his 8-year-old. He concludes that it’s too much. For his older daughter, farther up the ladder, he has to pay more. By the time it’s done, people pay more on soccer than they could possibly get back in a college scholarship. That’s certainly true.
Winograd laments the fact that someone finishing up a college career has to spend $1,000 or so to get coaching licenses. Not sure which licenses he means here — the early licenses generally cost less (unless you have to travel), the late licenses generally cost more. Take “$1,000” as a very rough estimate of preliminary costs.
Lapointe says no one’s going to be able to tell independent clubs that they can no longer charge their players. We’ll rate that “true.” He then says he’s the only candidate talking about inner cities and futsal. We’ll rate that “false.” Winograd had just mentioned programs like that. He wants to stop the poaching of players for free, where another club sells a family the Kool-Aid to convince a kid to switch. He wants payments for that.
Gans jokes that all the answers have been made. He agrees with everyone. He says clubs need to be reined in a bit with “Good Housekeeping standards.” We’ve seen some attempts to create club standards, but they’re neither widely known nor universal, so his point is valid.
QUESTION 3: What’s your view on promotion/relegation? (44:30)
Noteworthy:
Lapointe works in the UPSL. Caligiuri coaches in it.
Fact/reality check in order:
Lapointe is the big pro/rel champion here. But it’s hard to conclude that he understands the issue. He starts out saying this has been a big issue for months now, which may surprise the people who’ve been talking about it for years. He says it has not been in our culture, which isn’t really true — amateur leagues have done it as long as I know. He works in the UPSL and touts their pro/rel stance as a fresh start — again, I don’t know that it is. He wants to test pro/rel in UPSL, NPSL, PDL and state organizations — again, a lot of leagues already have it. The USASA lists 13 “elite amateur leagues” — including the UPSL — some of them a century old. At least half of them have pro/rel.
Caligiuri talks about his experience in Germany with teams that went up and down. He mentions the excitement it brings fans and the pressure it brings players. I’ve argued many times before, based in part on conversations with Scandinavian soccer veterans like Brian Dunseth and Bobby Warshaw — pressure depends on the soccer culture, not simply pro/rel.
Caligiuri continues with a strange suggestion about futsal for ages 6-12, suggesting that’s a place we could test pro/rel. Traditional youth leagues already have pro/rel, but they don’t do it at younger ages because they want the focus to be on development, and they worry that coaches under relegation pressure will start playing direct at U8. Ontario youth soccer quit keeping scores and standings — a decision I actually argued against on a Canadian radio show a few years ago. Then he talks about doing pro/rel in USASA leagues — which, again, already exists.
Winograd says he’s going to assume we’re talking about the pro ranks. He says it would be exciting, but as a practical matter, “we’re not there yet.” Franchise fees, contracts, etc. He wants to start building it at the lower leagues, and then he touts his alternative plan to have “guest clubs” in the top division in the near-term. I prefer my system, but he’s reality-based on this point, and he goes on to talk about USSF’s power and limitations. USSF shouldn’t be ramming things down people’s throats, he says in conclusion.
Wynalda believes we are ready, and he points to parachute payments and so forth as a way to make sure clubs are better off financially in the long run. Sort of, but when you see English clubs curtailing their academies, you have to wonder if the long-term picture really is better. If I trusted economists, I’d love to see an economic study on that.
Gans says everyone’s watching the last day of the Premier League not to see who wins the league but to see who goes up or down. Is that a feature or a bug? Then he says the passionate promotion/relegation people have made a really good point, which is that players develop more of a cutting edge in pro/rel systems — again, the Warshaw/Dunseth experience and some common sense would say otherwise. Then he offers his own reality check — he remembers the late 80s and early 90s when everything had fallen apart, and given that, he doesn’t think USSF can simply impose it.
QUESTION 4: What do you think of the nomination process, and please explain the election process. (54:45)
Fact/reality check in order:
Gans gets to go first. That might be coincidence, but it’s appropriate. He was the first candidate to declare, so he’s been laying a lot of the groundwork here. If someone other than Gulati or Cordeiro is elected, that candidate owes Gans a debt. He is concerned that he was not given a list of delegates, which he believes should be freely given by a nonprofit. I don’t know enough about applicable law to know whether that’s true, though I can verify that I also asked for that list and was denied. The election procedures call for candidates to receive this list 120 days before the election, then again (because the delegates may change) 60 and 30 days out. He also points out rules have been changing a bit midstream, which is absolutely true.
Winograd sees a lack of clarity and sophistication, and he says his law firm frequently works with companies on their election process. He says he read the bylaws with help from someone at his law firm, a sign that they’re not really clear. He worries about seeing “blocs” form, especially where votes are heavily weighted as on the Athletes Council. (Indeed, I’ve spoken with someone on the Athletes Council who says they do indeed tend to vote as a bloc so their voice isn’t diluted. That said, I have no idea how you change that. USSF can’t change the rules that give athletes 20% of the vote, and I don’t see how you stop them from voting as a bloc.)
Caligiuri says the election rules are against the Roberts Rules of Order. He doesn’t say how. He cites his board experience and says he understands how the councils (Athletes, Pro, Youth, Adult) work. He cites it as a positive that USSF answers to the U.S. Olympic Committee and the Stevens Act, specifically because it mandates athlete representation.
Wynalda says the rules were built as an attempt to represent everybody but that they ended up being built by one man — Sunil Gulati. He’s critical of the process but doesn’t offer much detail.
Lapointe notes he was told two days ago that an association can rescind a nomination — that was indeed recent news. He isn’t happy that he has only three months between his declaration of intent in September and the deadline to present his three (minimum) nominations in December. That’s an odd complaint. Nothing prevented him from declaring his intent as early as Gans did.
All five candidates correctly described the election process itself in varying detail.
QUESTION 5: What are you going to do with that $100-$150 million surplus? (1:04:45)
Fact/reality check:
Wynalda asks where the money is coming from and gives an astonishingly precise figure — 49% of $94 million is coming from television. Looking at the Form 990 for the year ending March 31, 2015 (not 2016) — there’s a figure of $94.8 million for program service revenue. “Sponsorship and royalties” is $39.7 million of that. In 2016, both numbers increase. I’m not sure where he gets that figure. Then a lot comes from the national teams, and 2018 is going to be an odd year with no major event. He segues into the “registration war” and referees, and I’m not sure I follow. When he visits the podcast, I’ll follow up with him. (You are planning to be on the podcast, right Eric?)
Lapointe says it’s not the Federation’s money — it’s your money (meaning the GotSoccer crowd). “We’re going to give it back to the states and regions,” he says, through coaching education and infrastructure. Then comes a baffling statement: “We don’t have a defined player identification system and a recruiting system thereof.” He wants to allocate those funds to send people out to find players. The USA does have a player identification system — actually, several: the Development Academy, ODP, id2, etc. Does he mean they’re not coordinated?
Gans mentions fields — inner cities, futsal courts, etc. — and pay-to-play. Then opportunities for women — he represented the Boston Breakers at one point.
Winograd says two places: Pay-to-play, not just kids but coaches. Then clearly defining a path to the national team, specifically, training centers in each state — a building with two fields. I should’ve followed up with him on the podcast about this — how does this differ from existing infrastructure? The interesting part is coordination — he wants to have blackout dates for leagues and tournaments, then bring kids into training on those.
Caligiuri wants to keep registration fees with the program that paid them — if you pay $1 to register a youth player, that goes for youth soccer. Same for adult soccer. Then a big proclamation to get all coaches involved: Every high school coach, he says, will be an Olympic Developmental scout. “How many high school players do not participate in your states?” he asks. That surely varies widely by state. In any suburban area, it’s tough to make a high school team if you’re not already on a top travel team. But are we missing some players in rural areas? Frankly, it raises the question of why college coaches aren’t scouting these areas.
QUESTION 6: What would be your plan for the organizational structure of U.S. Soccer? (1:15:15)
Fact/reality check in order:
Gans wonders if the organization is so big that positions need to be split — maybe a general manager of soccer, separate from the CEO. He promises a top-to-bottom review, and as he’s said often, he wants the main office in Chicago to deal more respectfully with the states and other organizations. He’s heard too many stories of disrespect. I’d like to hear some specifics at some point, but does anyone doubt him?
Wynalda cites his dear friend Hank Steinbrecher, the USSF General Secretary through the 1990s, talking about many people arguing for the same thing but opposing each other. He wants to have paid positions to delegate responsibilities (somewhat the opposite of Lapointe).
Caligiuri wants to create a culture. First, fund the Athletes Council and help them understand concerns of other councils. He says this is the only council that isn’t funded. What does this mean? I’m looking into it. And he wants to raise the standards. Second, hire a technical director. Third, look to Silicone Valley. It’s Silicon. (Sorry, pet peeve.)
Winograd sees serious fracturing — overlapping, competing and unclear structures. He says he couldn’t figure out, as a parent, what team is for what. (On a related note: Watch for the Ranting Soccer Dad Guide to Youth Soccer in 2018.) But there’s no one-size-fits-all solution — same solution in one state may not work in another. We already have reps in each state, he says, which again raises the question of how they would function alongside a USSF center in each state.
Lapointe says he’ll peel back the layers. He’ll want an outside firm to take a look, and he’ll want an outside audit. Both of which have been done, repeatedly, as is evident from board minutes. In fact, an outside review (along with the USOC) is why the board dropped from 40 people to 15. Then, he says, we have to remove conflict of interest, which will peel back the layers. He hints that Dan Flynn’s salary as CEO could be split among a couple of people, but we need to peel back those layers. I don’t mean to harp on this, but I have to say again — it sounds like a lot of the information he’s seeking is readily accessible. In some cases, though, it’s not, and there are some layers to peel back.
Quick check of highest-paid USSF employees for year ending March 31, 2016 (according to the Form 990):
QUESTION 7: What would be your process for selecting a men’s national team coach? (1:25:40)
Wynalda says we’re operating under the assumption that the president is the sole selector, which isn’t always true. He says we asked Jurgen Klinsmann to do 3-4 jobs, but the national team coach should do just one — not technical director, not youth development. He thinks we did that with Klinsmann so we could justify his salary. Maybe, but was it also a false belief that Klinsmann would be able to singlehandedly bring Das Reboot to the USA? In any case, he says we need to wait until after the World Cup, then jokes that he skated out of the question.
Gans wants a committee of former players and those involved with the youth game. The latter seems like an awkward reach to the people in the room. Then he talks about the Philadelphia Atoms of the NASL and how their star players took different approaches — some committed, some not. Back to the committee — they would come up with the questions and vetting process, then selection.
Lapointe notes some of the best players in the world aren’t the best coaches or business people. He suggests a director of coaches — “I don’t think there is one in the federation.” The next president, he says, won’t hand-pick the next coach. He wants a coach who leads players into the game rather than just teaching the game. At this level, is a national team coach teaching anything? In the last two World Cup qualifiers, he says, it doesn’t look like the players had leadership and wanted to be there. I’m not going to nit-pick on the second-to-last qualifier, the 4-0 rout over Panama that made us think everything would be OK. The last two qualifiers seared in our memory are the home loss to Costa Rica and … well … the last one.
Caligiuri wonders if it was the national team coach for futsal, beach soccer or the men’s national team, saying we need a coach for all three. Futsal isn’t Keith Tozer any more? He was the coach as of June. And Eddie Soto has been serving as permanent beach soccer coach, though he had to hand the reins to Francis Farberoff for a tournament that conflicted with Soto’s college duties. But, of course, given the World Cup qualifying debacle, he realizes we’re talking about the latter. And that’s about going out and listening to other people’s opinion. Hiring a sporting director or technical director would assist with that, he says. But as president, he would take 100% accountability for that decision. He also points toward looking at coaches at the World Cup, so the next person would likely be interim.
Winograd says this goes to one of the central failings in U.S. Soccer today — decision-making. Whether it’s this or going to birth-year age groups, these are all about the decision-making. We don’t know who made the Klinsmann decisions or how those decisions were made, but we know we need future decisions to be transparent. You have to have a committee with former players, former coaches, business people.
SPECIFIC QUESTIONS FOR EACH CANDIDATE
GotSoccer attendees came up with these.
For Gans: Based on failing to make Olympics and World Cup, what grade would you give the Development Academy and would you continue it? Gans has two kids who’ve been in the DA and sees a lot of positives, but he doesn’t care for the edicts that come down from Chicago, such as the high school prohibition. (“Chicago” has replaced “Washington” as the scapegoat of this political realm, which might not really fit given the dispersed group of people that makes these rules.) He’s seen kids who didn’t even want to play college soccer after playing in the DA because they’ve had the joy sucked out of them and turned into robots. Grade: B-minus.
For Wynalda: What are your expectations for the men’s and women’s national teams? He doesn’t consider finishing 16th in a World Cup to be success, and he doesn’t think we’ve gotten better on the men’s side. We don’t have specialists, he says. He references Gans’ comment on robots and says we need to embrace personality. His expectation is to be a serious contender by 2026, and he thinks we can solve it in eight months rather than eight years. On the women’s side, he says they’ve represented us better than anyone, and staying on top is difficult.
For Winograd: What role should U.S. Soccer play in CONCACAF?What the hell is this question? Winograd gamely gives it a go and says we should take a leading role in getting the respect for CONCACAF that it deserves.
For Lapointe: With so much focus on obtaining college scholarships, how do you intend to influence the college game “in the alignment process”?I don’t understand the last part. Lapointe says the USSF president needs to pick up the phone and call the NCAA because we don’t have a relationship. Not sure what’s he basing that assumption on. Not sure how to prove it one way or the other.
For Caligiuri: What skillsets do you bring that qualify you to lead a national governing body? DNA. Playing experiences. Coaching. Athletes Council and board membership — felt rushed to vote at times and didn’t have complete information. One thing he did on Athletes Council and board — when we have three board members, if it’s a male chair, then it would be a female co-chair. We didn’t have things like that — I learned the Councils can make rules like that on their own.
CLOSING REMARKS
Gans: A recent report gave every candidate a one-word summary, and his was “businessman.” He cringed. He’s a soccer person who became a lawyer.
This is a complex job. It involves someone who has a deep background, leadership, organizational skills, deep business skills, consensus-building, conflict resolution, negotiation. I’m the one candidate that combines all that.
There’s a platform he’ll be disseminating soon. But one of the first things he’ll do (he’s said this on my podcast) is to form a task force to solve the divisiveness in youth soccer. There are two State Cups in Massachusetts. Why? Because sanctioning organizations are fighting. That doesn’t help.
There’s an attrition rate at age 13 that’s higher than other sports. I didn’t find figures to confirm or dispute that statement. On a related note: I’m a little disappointed no one has mentioned Project Play in this forum.
“I have no ties to FIFA. I’m glad to say that.”
Finally, WNT conditions will be evened out right away. Paralympic, futsal and beach will be treated with respect.
Winograd: We have made great strides over the last 20 years, but in a lot of areas, we’ve lagged behind, and there’s an increasing fracture at all levels.
Three key initiatives: First, decision-making must be inclusive, merit-based and transparent.
Second, equality in women’s soccer. He calls this “something we haven’t talked about,” which is mostly true in this forum. He repeats here what he’s said on the podcast — travel and field conditions will be equivalent. If the women want to keep their salary structure, fine, but we’ll still make things equivalent.
Third, reducing cost barriers. Again, not a one size-fits-all solution. Can have competing organizations but there needs to be integration.
Uniquely situated to do this — perseverance, stamina, ability to bring people together and sit and synthesize interests to find a path forward. He’s been doing this throughout his career. You need the business side and the soccer side — I’ve played, I’ve coached.
Caligiuri: Conflict over the years has been promoted in an interesting way. U.S. Club Soccer and U.S. Youth Soccer (not to disregard AYSO and SAY) — those two have Olympic development programs: id2 and ODP. We could reform the Development Academy. Keep those registrations in those national youth organizations rather than channeling them into U.S. Soccer. Waive those fees of $1 per kid. Instead of promoting conflict, we create unity with two organizations that are doing meaningful things and have great volunteers.
We talked about pay-to-play. The Academy has increased it for many. It has narrowed the path for youth soccer players. His plan is broader. Keep your registrations, or everything is going to be run through.
Repeating from opening: “If you don’t want change, then I’m not the right person.”
When he was on board, he asked about girls for Development Academy.
Lapointe: The next president has to have integrity, transparency, honesty and business ethics. I have all five of those. (Yes, I rewound and double-checked. He listed four things, then said he has all five.)
“American soccer is not broken. It needs a reboot. It needs new software.”
“I would rather be knighted or hung on the success of a 3-year-old that puts the ball under their foot for the first time and the parents that go along with that child and the system that they’re going to belong to to make sure it’s proper and to make sure it’s not confusing for them and to make sure they’re on the right path to support the very culture and the very things we’re talking about today.”
He then promises inclusion and equal pay for women. He says he’s also looking at the inclusion of an Open Cup for women. This hasn’t gone over all that well with women’s soccer fans — also there has indeed been an Open Cup in the not-too-distant past, but it suffers from a distinct lack of entries.
He also wants to peel back the layers and remove conflict of interest.
Futsal is near and dear to his heart, and he claims to be the only person to have reached out to AMF and the futsal national team. “We have a national futsal team, and we don’t even sanction the sport in this country.” Multiple problems here — by AMF, does he mean the World Minifootball Federation, the successor to FIFRA (Federacion Internacional de Futbol Rapido)? That’s more small-sided soccer and indoor soccer — now renamed “arena soccer” and under the same general umbrella as the Major Arena Soccer League. It’s not futsal, which is under the governance of U.S. Futsal (USFF) — a USSF affiliate.
OK, let’s try this fact-check again. There IS indeed an AMF — Asociacion Mundial de Futsal — which used to be FIFUSA (the last three letters are NOT United States of America) — that holds its own futsal championships, including the upcoming Women’s World Cup. The rest of the initial check is still correct — there is a WMF (formerly FIFRA) that organizes small-sided and indoor (boards) soccer, and the Major Arena Soccer League (Baltimore Blast, Milwaukee Wave, San Diego Sockers, etc.) is an affiliate. It’s still not quite accurate to say the USSF doesn’t sanction futsal because it includes U.S. Futsal (USFF).
Back to Lapointe’s closing …
I hope I’d be considered to be part of the federation even if I don’t get elected.
Wynalda: A couple of things we don’t have — a clear vision. We’ve been left to our own devices to an extent. We can’t even tell ourselves who we are. It’s not broken. It’s a very unique part of our history that we need to fix it and fix it now. The president’s job is to build a culture that makes sense for all its members, to have an understanding of “who are we? What are we trying to accomplish?”
We’ve been teased. We always say we’re the sport of the future. We can’t rely on an outside sources for Holland or Belgium — YOU know how to do soccer. The federation’s relationship with organizations is the only thing that’s broken. And when we’re fighting with ourselves, how are we supposed to beat the rest of the world.
“They ruled us by fear and then expected us to do great things.”
Commends all these gentlemen (other candidates) on their bravery.
The advantage I have is I understand this game. My job is to help you understand this game.
For my latest effort at creating a promotion/relegation system that takes into account the various things that make U.S. soccer a little different, I’m borrowing from the following sources:
Eric Wynalda, for his insistence that the USA needs to sync its calendar with major European leagues to take better advantage of the transfer market.
Brian Straus, for his group-stage MLS playoff idea.
Mike Winograd, for his “guest team” promotion/relegation idea.
The NASL (current version), for its spring and fall season split.
Me, for my old scheme of separating League and Cup.
And I’m using the following principles:
Opportunity. Let small clubs have a chance to compete and move up.
Stability. Don’t toss clubs into oblivion and let them cut their youth academies. (In fact, academies would be part of the Professional Club Standards, which would replace the Professional League Standards. More on that later.)
No lawsuits. We hope. So we’re not asking MLS owners to risk nine-figure investments on a bounce of the ball, we’re giving lower-division owners a chance to compete without buying a share of SUM, etc.
Balance between playoffs and regular season.
Here’s the plan:
FALL SEASON: LEAGUE PLAY
Start in late July (early August if we’ve just had a late international tournament) and play until early December.
Division 1A: A 12-team single-table division. We’ll assume this starts in 2019, so we’ll pick the 12 teams based on 2018 results. The winner is the MLS/Division 1 League champion.
Division 1B: Flexible format to account for expansion. In 2019, if MLS has 28 total teams, then this would be a 16-team format, so split it into two eight-team regions, playing two games against each team in the region and one against each team from the other. Each region’s winner would meet in a one-game playoff. At stake: a nice trophy and a guaranteed spot in next year’s Division 1A.
Divisions 2A and 2B: Regional. Maybe two Division 2A leagues and as many Division 2Bs as we can field. Pro/rel — specifics to be determined by the number of clubs involved. Any club that meets Professional Club Standards will play no lower than Division 2B.
Each team’s finish seeds them into the …
SPRING SEASON: CUP PLAY
Shorter. Roughly March 1-June 1. (Again, move that June date to account for an international tournament if needed.)
Pro Cup (should be named after someone important)
This is less of a league season and more of a Cup. It’s the national professional championship. And any professional club can win.
24 teams, determined by fall league season.
8 from Division 1A
8 from Division 1B
6 from Division 2A
2 from Division 2B
Clubs are seeded and then drawn into four six-team groups. Double round-robin, 10 games. Then a modified Page Playoff:
Round one
Game 1 – Group 1 winner vs. Group 2 winner: Winner to semifinal; loser to quarterfinal.
Game 2 – Group 3 winner vs. Group 4 winner: Same stakes
Game 3 – Group 1 runner-up vs. Group 2 runner-up: Winner to quarterfinal; loser out
Game 4 – Group 3 runner-up vs. Group 4 runner-up: Same stakes
Quarterfinals
Game 5 – Game 1 loser vs. Game 4 winner
Game 6 – Game 2 loser vs. Game 3 winner
Semifinals
Game 7 – Game 1 winner vs. Game 6 winner
Game 8 – Game 2 winner vs. Game 5 winner
Then the final.
Regional Cups
We’ll have four 1A clubs, several 1B clubs and a ton of 2A and 2B clubs. Divide them by region and have competitions similar to the Pro Cup. At stake: regional trophies and division status for the fall season.
These teams also will play the early rounds of the …
U.S. Open Cup
If you’re in the Pro Cup, you get a bye. If you’re not, you don’t.
Also, we’re starting a separate Summer Open Cup for clubs that play only in the summers. That replaces national NPSL and PDL playoffs, and it takes those clubs (or, more specifically, summer-only teams within a club) out of the Cup. Other teams may also enter, but we’ll have to make sure the competition starts in late May and ends before players go back to college.
(And yes, I dream of the day in which the Open Cup proper includes college teams.)
DIVISION STATUS
Division 1 and Division 2 status will be based on two things:
Meeting the Professional Club Standards. These replace the Professional League Standards (though the D2 leagues, which can be branded, will be required to meet some basic criteria — obviously not including time zones). The PCS will have a basic list of 8-10 criteria, and a club will be required to meet 75% of them. That means “waivers” will neither be given nor necessary. If you have a smallish stadium but meet every other standard, you’re in. We’ll have one set of PCS for D1 clubs, another for D2.
Elections will be held after each Cup season.
D1: Clubs that meet D1 standards and have won either a League or Cup competition in the past two years can apply for D1. Any D1 club that finished in last place in its regional Cup must stand for re-election. The number of clubs that will be accepted is variable. There’s no required relegation to D2. (Maybe at some point we’ll add some criteria under which a club is automatically relegated, but the election should take care of it.)
D2: It’s very rare that a D2 club would need to stand for re-election. If it still meets D2 PCS, it should generally still be in the mix. (The PCS could include a minimum payroll.) Amateur clubs can apply each year to move into professional ranks, and that’s not dependent on league finish — meet the PCS, run for election.
Status in D1A/D1B or D2A/D2B is partially determined by League play (top four D1A clubs and D1B champion will be in the next D1A) but mostly by Cup play.
QUESTIONS
Why is this so complicated? Why not just a straight up-and-down pyramid?
The same reason Congress will never pass a tax code that reduces your tax return to a postcard. It sounds like a great idea until you realize that you can no longer itemize deductions and the super-rich are paying nothing because they’re simply moving all their “income” to the Cayman Islands with no tax code to close the loopholes. Simple isn’t always better.
But why should care about protecting club owners’ interests?
It’s not about protecting Merritt Paulson, Anthony Precourt, Drew Carey or the gaggle of celebrities behind LAFC — though, as mentioned above, it’d be nice to stay out of court and avoid lawyers asking pointed questions about why massive investments are suddenly worth a lot less.
It’s about encouraging professional clubs to form and stay professional— for the benefit of (A) their supporters, (B) professional-level players and (C) youth academies.
Why separate League and Cup?
To give us the best of both worlds — the traditional single-table league and a playoff competition.
Yes, Twitter has 280 characters now, but that’s still not enough to get to the nuances here. Just be glad I’m not doing the “pro/rel zealots (PRZ) share the same callous attitudes toward athletes as the oligarchs in Rollerball” post.
Before I get into this, I’ll have to sum up once more:
No, I’m not “anti” promotion/relegation. I just see practical issues that make it difficult to implement at the top level in the USA at the moment. I see no practical issues limiting our ability to do it at Divisions 2 and 3, and perhaps a well-run league at those levels could attract enough attention that MLS would see the value in making it work.
I’ve come up with several plans for a full pro/rel pyramid and other opportunities to give lower-division clubs a chance to shine.
We have a bloody history of pro/rel discussion that inhibits rational planning. Even Peter Wilt, who wrote a pro/rel manifesto and is trying to start a league that would kick-start pro/rel in the lower divisions, is seen by the PRZ as a sellout. (Listen to our podcast interview.) And the main players in the discussion aren’t as easily pigeon-holed as we think — the NASL is improbably held up as a pro/rel standard-bearer, but they’re looking less likely to get it done (even if they somehow convince a judge to accept their appeal to be D2 again next season) than the USL.
And that brings us to the point here: Promotion/relegation is as likely to be a detriment to youth development as it is to be a positive.
Put another: The evidence that pro/rel — not a deeper soccer culture, not better coaching education — is the driving force behind superior youth development does not outweigh evidence that pro/rel has no effect and may actually limit investment in academies.
Wipe the spit off your laptop, and let’s see why I say that.
Germany: Pro/rel didn’t make Bundesliga clubs form academies. The federation did. Here’s an excerpt from the must-read Das Reboot:
The DFB made it compulsory for the eighteen top teams to build performance centres by 2001–02. ‘It was for their own good, but we had to force them to do it, to an extent,’ recalled Rettig. Money was the main obstacle: ‘How much will it cost? Is that really necessary?’, those were the reactions, says Schott. But there was also some resistance at the ideological level against fostering the elite. ‘Werder Bremen doesn’t want to follow the principle of selection,’ the former SVW general manager Willi Lemke, a Social Democrat politician, said in 1998. ‘We have a social responsibility! We are obliged to provide leisure activities for children.’
England: Dagenham and Redbridge was relegated to the fifth tier — out of the Football League and into the National League — in 2016. First order of business: Move its academy to Category 4, which is a technical way of saying they closed it and now only have apprentices/reserves.
Torquay is a yo-yo club between the fourth and fifth tiers. Its academy has come and gone more than once.
Other academies have closed in recent years: Wycombe, Crawley, Yeovil (since re-opened) and Brentford.
Even in the EPL, Huddersfield has announced it will go to Category 4 as well, and the media wonder how soon other EPL clubs will follow suit. The issue is that the big clubs simply snap up all the best players and make money by loaning them out, while clubs like Brentford grab players who fall out of the big academies.
In the meantime, we’re seeing pay-to-play operations pop up — some charging close to $100 a month (still cheaper than the typical U.S. travel club, of course) — to give players an alternate pathway. (We’re also seeing some hybrid school/training operations that are perfectly happy to send young English players to U.S. colleges.)
Quick digression: Solidarity payments / training compensation
Even this has pros and cons. The same NYT story linked in the last paragraph notes that as a club’s potential financial windfall rises, the system is “effectively handcuffing a boy to a club just when he is free to make his own decisions about his career.”
Other issues are at play in the USA. Would solidarity payments violate child labor or antitrust laws? Did Fraser v MLS include secret provisions that would never, ever allow such payments? And do clubs with no senior-level team qualify for such payments? I don’t know, and I’ve been discussing it with Steven Bank:
The child labor law point has generally been viewed as doubtful. Antitrust is the MLSPU argument, but it hasn't been fully vetted in a court
Perhaps the USA can make solidarity pay work somehow. It would seem fair, and it would make some money trickle down from the pros to the youth clubs.
But the bottom line is that the solidarity / training comp system doesn’t depend on pro/rel. Canada has no pro/rel, and unless everyone speaking on SiriusXM is wrong (apologies for not having another source at the moment), they participate in the system. The FIFA statutes aren’t always clear, but I certainly didn’t see anything that says “a club that cannot be promoted to its country’s top division is ineligible for training compensation.”
If you’re looking for a pro-pro/rel argument to grasp onto at this point, I have good news. I’ve already made it. Pro/rel can help deepen the soccer culture in this country, and a deeper soccer culture — along with some good investments — might mean our kids’ kids will grow up playing much more pickup soccer and futsal on their way to legitimate youth academies that will have popped up all over the country.
I’ve also made the case that the USA can do promotion/relegation better than England, and upon seeing the clubs ditching their academies upon relegation in more recent research, I’m more convinced this plan has merit. England has an artificial barrier to the number of clubs recognized as “fully professional,” even as fifth-tier clubs pay players and have a couple of full-fledged academies. That’s based on a 92-team “league” limit that exists only because of tradition, not because it makes the game better. If you have more clubs that could make the investment if they stay in the Football League, wouldn’t it be better for youth development if the Football League has more clubs? Maybe a fifth division, maybe two regional fourth divisions?
In the USA, spread over a much larger land mass, that argument carries more weight. If a club in a city of 200,000 people has a strong academy, we don’t want to lose that. Why force that team out of the fully professional leagues?
So for you tl;dr people out there — the preceding 1,000 words establish this: Promotion may indeed bring about better youth development. Relegation can hurt.