Update: I’ve added a column for “actual” now that the Games are done, and I’ve posted a recap of what we learned.
To recap for newcomers: I went event-by-event through results from competitions in the past Olympic cycle. Please read the 2012 medal projections category (update: or follow the links below) to see each event in vivid detail.
And please do leave questions and comments, here and on all the posts for each sport. I like feedback, crowd-sourcing (if you know that so-and-so from Tajikistan just broke his ankle and won’t compete, please pass it along) and polite argument.
These projections reflect the updates made in July. If you want to see the way the projections stood after the fall 2010-summer 2011 roundup, check the archive page. If you want to see how they compare to other projections, see the mega-meta comparison.
Medal count by country, sortable and searchable:
Want to see the details for each sport? Enjoy:
– Gymnastics (artistic, rhythmic, trampoline)
– Ball sports (Basketball, Beach volleyball, Field hockey, Team handball, Soccer, Volleyball, Water polo)